On
Wednesday, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) published a report which
predicts very serious recessionary conditions in the USA for 2013 - with the
loss of two million jobs - if Congress does not manage to get to grips with the
colossal public finance deficit. In fact, the CBO is really addressing a paralyzed
political leadership, with a report that constitutes a fundamental political
and psychological shock for the USA.
Here are a
few words from the National Post, taking up Reuters, on the 23rd August 2012, to give us an idea of the tone of
the report – a catastrophic tone also found in other studies like that of the PEW
Research Center, which paints a scary
picture of the material and psychological state of the population, particularly
of the middle classes which have been devastated by the crisis. (We use the
term catastrophic objectively, in an approving sense rather than a critical
one. It is not an alarmist spirit, but a spirit which objectively observes a
general and irreversible drift towards catastrophe as a general state of
affairs, much more than any announcement of a specific catastrophe, even if
this constitutes a part of it.)
“As the
U.S. middle class faces its “worst decade in modern history,” a new report says
an impending “fiscal cliff” is worse than previously thought and could plunge
the country into recession.
Massive
U.S. government spending cuts and tax hikes due next year will cause dire
economic damage if Washington fails to come up with a solution, the
Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warned on Wednesday. Without action by
Congress to avoid the “fiscal cliff,” Americans should expect a “significant
recession” and the loss of some two million jobs, CBO director Doug Elmendorf
said in his gloomiest assessment yet.
The
forecast comes as a Pew Research Center study says 85% of middle-class
Americans feel it is more difficult now than a decade ago to maintain their
standard of living. The report describes them as losing faith in the future.
The study says the U.S. middle class is facing its “worst decade in modern
history,” with its share of the nation’s income falling for the first time
since the Second World War…”
In an
opinion piece published in the same National Post, on the 22nd August 2012, the scholar and economist Jack M.
Mintz sharply criticizes the attitude of the American political leadership. He
compares it to the Europeans, stating that the Europeans are attempting to do
something whereas Washington is doing nothing and seems to be paralyzed….The
intention here is not to engage in any kind of comparison made by experts, for
comparing Europe and the USA and drawing conclusions from this comparison alone
would be merely playing the system’s game; Europe is indeed doing something but
this ‘something’ is equally catastrophic since it remains within the diktat of the system which leads to catastrophe
after catastrophe. What interests us is the psychological aspect, - over here
one is trying to do something, over there nothing is being done – and, more
exactly, to highlight the kind of (paradoxically) furious apathy, which characterizes
the American elites, with a pathology that we could identify as a kind of psychological
chronic fatigue syndrome…
“At a
European conference on the sovereign-debt crises that I attended this week, my
overwhelming conclusion, after listening to many experts, is that the U.S. is
in far more trouble than Europe. This was brought home by calculations
presented by Larry Kotlikoff of Boston University at a lecture held at the
International Institute of Public Finance, the biggest gathering of
public-finance experts in the world. Greece may be bankrupt, but the U.S. looks
like a giant Ponzi scheme.… […] The U.S. reflects the most extreme case
of intergenerational inequality. Generation after generation has participated
in a Ponzi game, leaving younger taxpayers to pick up the tab for money
effectively borrowed by older generations to spend on unfunded benefits.
Kotlikoff labelled such practices as “child fiscal abuse,” a rather strong term
but not far from the truth… […]
The
European are dealing with their severe fiscal problem, even if clumsily. But
where are U.S. politicians and the public, who still don’t understand the
extent of their potential fiscal bankruptcy? The U.S. has the political
structure to get the job done, but seems too paralyzed to address a looming
fiscal crisis… […] The
United States should be ashamed. While many experts criticize the Europeans for
not pulling together politically, U.S. indebtedness is far greater and more
dangerous to the world economy.”
Here, we
add in another factor, also an economic one but which reminds us of the real
dimensions - absolutely, fundamentally apocalyptic - of the general crisis in
the System, by adding in the element of natural catastrophe……We choose to highlight
here, in a text from the site The Economic Collapse on “8 Economic
Threats That We Were Not Even Talking About At The Beginning Of The Summer”
(the 22nd August 2012), the specific threat of the river
Mississippi, currently drying up due to the tremendous drought which is
devastating the United States….The description is of the economic effects of
the thing, but imagine the devastation that this phenomenon adds to an American
psychology which is already well and truly devastated…..
“Thanks
to this drought, rivers and lakes all over the United States are drying up. In
fact, there have been reports that millions of fish have been dying because
water levels have gotten so low in many areas. Even the mighty Mississippi
River has dropped to dangerously low levels.
At this
point, the Mississippi is lower than most people living along the river can
ever remember. If it drops much lower, it could potentially have an absolutely
devastating impact on the U.S. economy. A recent NBC News report described what
is at stake... “About $180 billion worth of goods move up and down the river on
barges, 500 million tons of the basic ingredients for much of the U.S. economy,
according to the American Waterways Operators, a trade group. It carries 60
percent of the nation’s grain, 22 percent of the oil and gas and 20 percent of
the coal, according to American Waterways Operators. It would take 60 trailer
trucks to carry the cargo in just one barge, 144 18-wheeler tankers to carry
the oil and gas in one petroleum barge.”
If all
traffic along the Mississippi was forced to stop, it is estimated that it would
cost the U.S. economy about 300 million dollars a day. And already there have
been stoppages along one 11 mile stretch of the river... “Nearly 100 boats and
barges were waiting for passage Monday along an 11-mile stretch of the
Mississippi River that has been closed because of low water levels, the U.S.
Coast Guard said. New Orleans-based Coast Guard spokesman Ryan Tippets said the
stretch of river near Greenville, Miss., has been closed intermittently since
Aug. 11, when a vessel ran aground.”
So what
happens if the Mississippi gets even lower?”
In the end
what you have here, like a mirror effect which has the virtue of making you
forget the coldness of economic statistics, is the state of the US population, which
is difficult to describe, even using the harshest terms. It is not the
documentation that is lacking; on the contrary, that is submerging us,
asphyxiating us……. Today is the ‘right moment’ to broaden the analysis, in the
sense of an economic catastrophe, reinforced and strengthened by human
catastrophe, the two bound together by a psychological collapse in society and
the beings that compose it. This collapse applies also, in different ways, to
the 1% who almost seem to innocently welcome the worst, most harmful influences,
riding with a nihilistic and an almost joyous arrogance in the race towards
total collapse - as much as for the 99% who are carried along with it. Chris Hedge’s
article in TomDispatch.com on the 21st August 2012 is a must-read, from the co-author of a book
which will be out shortly, Days of Destruction, Days of Revolt, the result of two years of research on the US
population, a land where everything happens as if some colossal force (we are
thinking at a minimum of the System to which all our leaders and elites are
subjected) was methodically, and with the greatest possible efficiency, pursuing
an absolutely genocidal programme and following only a tremendously powerful, nihilistic
impulse towards a general state of chaos. (The text “Forsaken And
Forgotten”, also on The Economic Collapse, the 23rd August 2012 is also an indispensable read with
some telling statistics about the evolution of this same population)
We see the
System touched in every fundamental aspect, in the USA whose superiority in the
domain of catastrophes is now an established fact - swept away by a crisis
which inexorably pursues its worsening, apocalyptic course. The American Dream continues to be ripped
apart by a nightmarish evolution which confirms the inversion of all the
fundamental criteria of this myth. First of all, there is the extraordinary paralysis
of a political system which seemed extremely well placed to control and
administer, in accordance with its own interests, a human mass of considerable
size. Now, this system, organized to be centralized, consensual, etc. has been
revealed as extremist and split by irresolvable differences, producing through its
very own virtues a dead-end situation which nothing can unblock. As a result
the financial and economic system is incapable of getting its breath back, of rediscovering
the artificial mechanisms that enabled it to survive. The second fundamental
aspect is the extraordinary devastation of the “middle classes”, both the pride
and security of the American system, reduced to rags by a process that reveals
with an extraordinary violence the totalitarian destructive logic of human beings.
Lastly, the intervention of the ecological and climatic catastrophe - when it is America that has occupied first
place in its creation due to the system of production and consummation of
energy which has characterized the System for the last two centuries - seems to have an almost symbolic
aspect to it: with the increasingly well-documented establishment of a
monstrous climatic system (that one would be tempted to believe organized), which is now hostile to the
economic and social organization of the system, one has the impression that
nature is taking a sort of revenge, - certainly, this particular symbol is likely to weigh more and more heavily in
our judgments.
it is about
the USA, but it is about far more than the USA (for the reason given above; the
comparison between the USA and Europe does not seem particularly relevant to us
anymore). It is a civilization, a world, a concept which is in the process of
collapsing. The USA is leading the way, in spite of all the montages and narratives to the contrary, because it
is the rumbling heart of this thing which is devouring us, a heart at the same
time rumbling and of an infinite fragility - the fragility of the USA is in
directly proportion to its apparent power, as the System’s dynamic of
self-destruction accompanies and gradually replaces its dynamic of ultra-power.
Even if the old economic, social, political and historical explanations still
help to some extent, they are of limited use for embracing and understanding this
phenomenon.Something immense is happening, which exceeds our conceptions and habitual explanations. It is more than ever time for our reflective capacities, and principally for our reason - if it manages to break free from the diktats of the System - to envisage the evolving situation in the light of far more audacious references and inspirations, far more audacious than those the System allows us. This is what we are trying to do, to the extent that we can, by constantly implying the intervention of “meta-historic forces”, of phenomena beyond human organization…..It is simply unacceptable, and scandalous, that our reason, continually dominated by the diktats of the System, is limited in its enquiries, reflections and hypotheses, to mere human capacities and explanations. When one observes the end result of these “human capacities” and the paucity of the “explanations” for the catastrophe, one is bound to ask oneself what good our capacity to reason serves us if it finds itself limited to these references… It is extremely urgent for us to liberate our reason from this unbearable human reference, without which all attempt to understand the phenomenon and its consequences will follow the same path as the system, which always proposes as a solution to the crisis the same old approach, that of accentuating that which had caused the crisis in the first place.
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